Navigating Market Volatility & Uncertainty - April 10, 2025 - On-Demand Recording

Additional J.P. Morgan Resources Here: Navigating market volatility: A guide for retirement investors

Our guest webinar presenter, Marta Rodriguez with J.P. Morgan Asset Management, joins us for a 34-minute webinar to provide insight into the recent market shifts in early April 2025. Marta is our long-time partner who has a gift for simplifying the complex world of economics. She always brings a fresh and analytical perspective to an often emotionally-charged and challenging topic for audiences.

Watch this 34-minute webinar (speaker content begins at 2:08 mark) to hopefully give you peace of mind in today’s geopolitical and economic climate. Marta covers the following in her presentation :

  • Components of GDP growth

    • Contributors to real GDP growth

  • Unemployment and wages

    • Civilian unemployment rate and year-over-year wage growth

  • Sources of earnings growth and profit margins

    • S&P 500 year-over-year pro forma EPS growth

    • S&P 500 profit margins

  • Inflation components U.S.

    • Contributors to headline CPI inflation

  • Tariffs on U.S. imports

    • Average tariff rate on U.S. goods imports for consumption

  • Labor Supply

    • Nonfarm payroll gains

    • Labor force growth, native and immigrant contributions

  • Federal finances

    • The 2025 federal budget

    • Federal deficit and net interest outlays

    • Federal net debt (accumulated deficits)

  • The Fed and interest rates

    • Federal funds rate expectations

  • Credit market dynamics

    • Corporate credit spreads

    • U.S. high yield by credit rating

    • U.S. high yield default rates

  • S&P 500 valuation measures

    • S&P 500 Index: Forward P/E ratio

  • Global equity markets

    • Share of global market capitalization

  • Annual returns and intra-year declines

    • S&P intra-year declines vs. calendar year returns

  • Consumer confidence and the stock market

    • Consumer Sentiment Index and subsequent 12-month S&P 500 returns

  • Time, diversification, and the volatility of returns

    • Range of stock, bond, and blended total returns


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