2026 Retirement Planning Considerations + Market Intelligence Update

Jenna Witherbee discusses retirement planning considerations for 2026, including ways to save and new limits, notable 2026 deadlines, pre-tax vs Roth contributions, and strategies to help you stay on track.

And one of our regular guest presenters, Emily Roland, the Co-Chief Investment Strategist with Manulife John Hancock Investmens, provides a timely market intelligence update for January 2026.

A brief recap of what is covered in this webinar is included below. As a reminder, this is two separate presentations. The first half is a market update and the second half is what you should be considering in 2026 as you plan for retirement. Retirement could be next year or 50 years from now — this information is valuable at all stages of life.

Part 1 with guest presenter, Emily Roland

Guest Presenter: Emily Roland's Background

Emily Roland is a seasoned market strategist providing insights to financial advisors, institutional investors, and every day Americans

  • Co-Chief Investment Strategist at Manulife Investments/John Hancock

  • Holds an M.B.A. from Boston College and a B.B.A. from James Madison University

  • Frequently featured in major financial media outlets like CNBC and Bloomberg

Market Intelligence Insights for 2026

The market intelligence report provides a comprehensive outlook on various asset classes and investment strategies

  • U.S. equity outlook is neutral, emphasizing quality at reasonable prices amid a decelerating economy

  • International equity is slightly negative, with a focus on earnings potential and active management

  • Fixed income is slightly positive, favoring high-quality bonds over credit, with expectations of continued rate cuts by the Fed

U.S. Equity Market Positioning

The U.S. equity market is navigating a late-cycle environment with a focus on quality investments

  • Current outlook is neutral, with mid-cap stocks seen as the best opportunity

  • Leading indicators suggest potential economic slowdown, with a negative YoY change in the Leading Economic Index (LEI) at -3.34%

  • Earnings estimates are rising but may be overly optimistic, particularly in sectors like information technology and financials

International Equity Market Dynamics

International equity markets are facing challenges with varying growth rates across regions.

  • The outlook is slightly negative, with downgrades in Europe and emerging markets due to cyclical risks

  • Non-U.S. earnings growth estimates for 2026 are higher than for 2025, particularly in materials and consumer discretionary sectors

  • The U.S. dollar's performance significantly impacts international asset performance

Fixed Income Market Outlook

The fixed income market is expected to provide attractive opportunities, particularly in high-quality bonds

  • The current view is slightly positive, with overweights in mortgage-backed securities and municipal bonds

  • The Fed is anticipated to continue cutting rates through 2026, with the current target range at 3.50% to 3.75%

  • High-yield spreads are tight relative to historical averages, indicating a cautious approach to riskier segments

Economic Indicators and Labor Market Trends

Recent economic indicators suggest a cooling labor market and potential inflation shifts

  • Year-over-year home price gains are declining, impacting inflation, where shelter accounts for 35% of U.S. inflation

  • Job growth has been moderating, with the unemployment rate at 4.6% as of December 2025

  • Initial jobless claims remain low, indicating no immediate labor market deterioration

Municipal Bond Yields and Opportunities

Municipal bond yields are historically attractive, offering potential benefits, especially for A-rated issues.

  • Municipal bond yields are above their 10-year averages: High Yield (5.59%), Municipal (3.60%)

  • Preferred bonds are A-rated due to their attractive yield and higher credit quality

  • Yield to worst for various ratings: AAA (3.42%), AA (3.46%), A (3.86%), BAA (4.48%)

Emerging Market Debt Yield Potential

Emerging market debt presents attractive yield potential despite higher risks

  • 10-year government bond yields are highlighted as a key factor

  • Investing in emerging markets involves risks such as currency volatility and political instability

Cash Balances and Investment Opportunities

High cash balances indicate a potential shift towards more attractive bond investments

  • Money market assets have reached all-time highs, exceeding $7.5 trillion

  • Cash alternatives lag behind bond yields significantly

  • Investors often wait until rates hit cyclical lows before shifting to bonds

Long/Short Strategies in Equity Markets

Long/short strategies can enhance portfolio returns during declining equity markets

  • Long/short strategies have outperformed the S&P 500 in 88% of down years

  • Average total return for S&P 500 during declines was -15%, while long/short averaged -2%

Top Portfolio Ideas for Current Market

A diverse range of investment strategies is recommended for current market conditions

  • Emphasize U.S. quality stocks at reasonable prices for late-cycle positioning

  • Consider mid-cap stocks for a balance of quality and valuation

  • Explore non-U.S. equities in sectors like industrials, technology, and healthcare

  • Target high-quality fixed-income segments, including municipal bonds and investment-grade corporates

  • Infrastructure and long/short strategies are suggested for downside protection

Part 2 with our advisor, Jenna Witherbee is below

2026 Retirement Planning Considerations

Key considerations and limits for retirement planning in 2026

  • 401(k) contribution limit: $24,500 + $8,000 catch-up for those over 50

  • IRA contribution limit: $7,500 + $1,100 catch-up for those over 50

  • Notable deadlines include April 15 for IRA contributions and December 31 for RMDs (Required Minimum Distributions)

Social Security Benefits Overview

Details on Social Security benefits and filing age

  • Full retirement age varies by birth year, ranging from 65 to 67

  • Early filing reduces benefits, while delayed filing increases them up to 132% at age 70

Health Savings Account (HSA) Advantages

HSAs offer triple tax advantages for healthcare savings

  • Contribution limits for 2026: $4,400 for individuals, $8,750 for families, with a $1,000 catch-up for those over 55

  • Funds can be used tax-free for qualified medical expenses, providing significant savings in retirement

Gift Tax and Contribution Limits

Increased limits for gift tax exclusions and contributions to 529 plans

  • Annual gift tax exclusion: $19,000 per individual, $38,000 per couple

  • 529 plan contributions can be treated as spread over five years, allowing for larger gifts

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